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Mortgage Market Guide: Home Sales Slip, Slide and Soar

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MMG Weekly 2017 Mortgage Market Guide Housing


Mortgage Market Guide: Home Sales Slip, Slide and Soar


  In This Issue  

Last Week in Review: Existing Home Sales slipped, but New Home Sales soared.

Forecast for the Week: Personal Consumption Expenditures and GDP could stand out in the packed calendar of data releases.

View: Master the art of storytelling to boost business.

Last Week in Review  

“Slip slidin’ away.” Simon and Garfunkel. Existing Home Sales slipped in February, but all the good news didn’t slide away.

On the positive side, sales of new single-family houses in February hit a seven-month high and were up 6.1 percent from January to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 592,000, according to the Commerce Department. New Home Sales in January also were revised up to a rate of 558,000. February’s sales are 12.8 percent above the February 2016 estimate and a welcome sign to prospective homebuyers who have struggled with limited inventory and rising home prices throughout the country.

After starting 2017 at the fastest pace in almost a decade, Existing Home Sales slid in February, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Despite the slide, sales remain above February 2016 levels nationally and in all major regions.

Existing Home Sales fell 3.7 percent from January to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in February, but are still 5.4 percent above a year ago. Total existing housing inventory for sale at the end of February increased from January. However, inventory is 6.4 percent lower than a year ago and has fallen year over year for 21 straight months.

Homebuyers and those looking to refinance also had good news this week as Mortgage Bonds, and the home loan rates tied to them, benefited from the uncertainty that emanated out of Washington D.C. In the lead-up to the healthcare reform vote originally scheduled in the House for Thursday, investors weren’t comfortable with the uncertainty surrounding the bill, giving Mortgage Bonds a boost midweek. Currently, home loan rates remain near historic lows.

If you or someone you know has any questions about current home loan rates or products, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

Forecast for the Week  
The inflation-reading Personal Consumption Expenditures and GDP could stand out in a crowded week of consumer and economic data.
  • We’ll get a sense of how consumers are feeling with Consumer Confidence on Tuesday and the Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday.
  • Wednesday brings the release of Pending Home Sales.
  • The third reading of fourth quarter 2016 Gross Domestic Product will be unveiled Thursday.
  • As usual, weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be released on Thursday.
  • Regional manufacturing data via the Chicago PMI will be released on Friday, along with Personal Income, Personal Spending and Personal Consumption Expenditures.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red “candle” means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green “candle” means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds benefited from the uncertainty in Washington D.C. leading up to Thursday’s scheduled healthcare reform vote in the House. Investors are not comfortable with uncertainty. The vote ultimately was rescheduled.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Mar 24, 2017)
Japanese Candlestick Chart
The Mortgage Market Guide View…  

4 Tips for Better Business Storytelling

Stories are the original “viral” marketing tool. Where facts and figures don’t always stick, a great story can’t wait to be retold. Whether you’re delivering a leadership message to your team, a sales message to a client, or presenting to a local organization, telling a story can make you more memorable and help spread the word about your expertise and leadership.

These four pointers help create high-impact business stories:

Consider your takeaway. What is the core truth you want to convey or the key action you want listeners to take? Getting to this bottom line will help you choose the best way to illustrate your message in a story that conveys that truth or inspires that action.

Overcome an obstacle. Without a challenge to overcome, there’s no story. Make sure to depict how you, your product or your service helped overcome an obstacle. Ideally, this should relate to the common challenge your audience also wants to overcome for themselves, so they can see the obstacle — and the ability to overcome it — clearly.

Use your own experiences to paint the picture. Think of where your failures or successes might be an emotional entry point into a story, and how they relate to the results you’ve achieved. Your direct, personal understanding brings an element of authenticity that’s engaging.

Keep it simple. The most effective business stories are clear-cut. Unless relevant to the story, leave out details like the day of the week, what you had for breakfast or the color of your socks. Stick with details that directly add to the point of the story.

Want to start telling better stories? Read more details and case studies that can help you craft your most effective business story.

Source: Harvard Business Review

Economic Calendar for the Week of March 27 – March 31




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Questions, Comments or For more information you can contact Christian Penner at: Call/Text: (561) 316-6800 or visit us online at www.ChristianPenner.com

The Christian Penner Mortgage Team, A Branch of 
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