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Mortgage Market Guide: Job Growth Down. Consumer Inflation Tame.

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MMG Weekly 2017 Mortgage Market Guide Housing

Mortgage Market Guide: Job Growth Down. Consumer Inflation Tame.

  In This Issue  
Last Week in Review: Job growth disappointed while consumer inflation remained tame.

Forecast for the Week: Investors will rely on other news in the face of few economic reports.

View: Save valuable time with canned email responses.

Last Week in Review  
“I work hard. I play harder.” Gretchen Wilson. Many more people found jobs in May, although job growth came in below expectations. Unemployment hit a 16-year low.

The Labor Department reported that job growth rose by 138,000 in May, below the 185,000 expected. March and April numbers were revised lower by 66,000. On a more positive note, the Unemployment Rate fell to a 16-year low of 4.3 percent and is at a new post-crisis low. Total unemployment, or the U6 number, fell to 8.4 percent, down from 9.4 percent last year. Rounding out the report, average hourly earnings rose 0.2 percent versus the 0.3 percent expected and were up 2.5 percent from May 2016.

Consumer inflation ticked up slightly from March to April. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which excludes food and energy, was up 0.2 percent versus the 0.1 percent expected. Year over year, April Core PCE was down 1.5 percent from 1.6 percent.

Home price gains remain strong. The March S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index rose 5.9 percent year over year from March 2016, matching the February reading. Gains are the biggest since July 2014. From February to March, prices were up 0.9 percent.

Although the Dow crushed its record-breaking high recently, home loan rates have been hovering near six-month lows.

If you or someone you know has any questions about home loan rates and products, please contact me today. I’d be happy to help.

Forecast for the Week  
Investors will need to rely on other news to guide investment decisions in a week of few economic reports.
  • Economic data kicks off on Monday with the release of first quarter Productivity and the ISM Services Index.
  • The only other economic report will be Thursday’s weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red “candle” means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green “candle” means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds hit six-month highs recently. Home loan rates remain near historic lows.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Jun 02, 2017)
The Mortgage Market Guide View…  
Canned Emails That Save Time
Part 1 of 3

One of the quickest ways to streamline your productivity is to automate as many repetitive tasks as possible. And one of the easiest things to automate is found right in your email inbox.

Chances are you send a lot of emails that are similar. Rather than retype the same messages over and over, craft a simple canned response for each repetitive communication type. Then, just cut and paste the response or input your saved canned message, lightly editing to suit specific details.

This week’s sample canned response is for times when a quick “yes” or “no” reply won’t do and you need more time to respond to an inquiry:

Dear [Name],

Thank you for asking about [topic].

I just wanted to let you know I am looking into it in more detail and expect to get back to you with specifics by [time frame].

If it’s more urgent and you need a faster reply, let me know and I will be happy to speed things up as much as possible.

[Your Name]

This reply acknowledges the sender’s question, confirms you are looking into the answer, and sets the expectation of when he or she can look for a response from you.

Many email servers allow you to input canned messages into templates so they can be inserted with a click of a button. Gmail users can learn to create canned templates here. Outlook templates are called “Quick Parts” and instructions may be found here.*

Next week we will share how to use canned emails to help defuse tense situations. Stay tuned!

*Instructions may vary slightly depending on Outlook version.

Source: The Muse

Economic Calendar for the Week of June 05 – June 09
Mortgage Market Guide: Job Growth Down. Consumer Inflation Tame.





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